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Specific K1 modification data
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Posted by: FrnkBooth

I am a new user, so I must say first of all, what a wealth of information! It is invaluable! More to the point, I cannot seem to find (not even on the .gov sites) specific information on K1 visas that have modified to perm status. More importantly, marriages that have lasted or percent that have dissolved.

No offence, but I am not talking about 7 or 10 couples, but thousands of data points. Something that would make up a real sample size. I have this data from another site. Cannot verify it for accuracy. If it is true, I would rather just spend my money in Vegas.

Foreign Marriage Statistics

A few guys have blasted me for the statistic of foreign marriage statistics that I have on my Facts page. Well, here are the official statistics from the US government (uscis.gov) for the year 2003.

3889 K-1's (fiancée) entered the USA
54.0% left the USA within 6 months
28.2% left between 6 months to one year
17.7% lasted more than one year

1546 K-3 (spouse) entered the USA
70.3% left the USA within 6 months
22.6% left between 6 months to one year
7.1 % lasted more than one year

Any comments are welcome. I started this search wholeheartedly, but now I am at a stand still.

Posted by: EasyTarget

I am surprised at how few people have applied for k1 & k3 visas. It would interesting to know, what percentage of the visas were for military spouses, and if it was broken down by geographical regions.

Posted by: ConnerVT

Quote:

Originally Posted by FrnkBooth

Well, here are the official statistics from the US government (uscis.gov) for the year 2003.

... (stats here) ...

Any comments are welcome.

Please validate your statistics with links or publication/page information for the source of your data. Unsubstantiated data, and that taken out of context, is basically worthless.

Posted by: FrnkBooth

As I said in my original message, I cannot validate the data. I copied it from another site. I was hoping someone with more experience than I could validate or dispute this information. The original post came from a site devoted to truth in a search for a RW. I am not going to provide the URL in respect for the owner of this site. If you would like, I can email it to anyone that is interested and you can see it for yourself. I have searched the noted .gov URL and it only reports the total inflow of K1 visas. It does list them by age, country and sex. It is interesting to note that most of the women coming in from the FSU are 20 to 34 years old. Send me an email and I will send you the excel sheet from INS.

This is not an attack on this process or these women. As I said in my original post, I was looking for an FSU wife when I found this data. Since then, I will get to the bottom of this before I continue.

Any hard data, which can be confirmed via a government site, would be very welcome. Again, what I have only reports incoming visas.

I find it troubling that a process like this has no commonly provided proof of this information. Surly, I am the only one that is not informed?

PS. I sent an email to the .gov site, but they have not responded.

Posted by: EasyTarget

http://uscis.gov/graphics/shared/st...rbook/index.htm
Is the official released ( Sep 2004 ) for 2003 data.

Some of the "facts" are sort of suspect.

Total K1 visas issued 28,295
Total Europe K1 visas issued 6,218
Total FSU K1 visas 3,433 -- unless Excel is adding the numbers wrong.

I could not find any breakdown of deportation or volutary departure, linking back to visa status. Or if they do it I can not find it. I didn't read all 228 pages of it. I just did some quick searches through the .pdf file.

Posted by: ConnerVT

Thanks. That's the immigration data. That still doesn't cover the stated marriage statistics. This is the information much more difficult to gather, as it can involve 50 states as well as the USCIS, and the visa types begin to blur after entry into the US.

Posted by: Jim_FL

Quote:

Originally Posted by EasyTarget

I could not find any breakdown of deportation or volutary departure, linking back to visa status.

This was the problem I had with it. The way it's written, my wife falls into that 54% who left within 6 months. She came back 3 weeks later, but never-the-less, she LEFT within 6 months of our marriage.

Posted by: That1Guy

How many times have coaches made a pitching change because statistically, it is tougher for a righty to hit a righty just to have the guy spank one out of the yard?

Posted by: RobOhioGuy

Quote:

Originally Posted by FrnkBooth

I am a new user, so I must say first of all, what a wealth of information! It is invaluable! More to the point, I cannot seem to find (not even on the .gov sites) specific information on K1 visas that have modified to perm status. More importantly, marriages that have lasted or percent that have dissolved.

No offence, but I am not talking about 7 or 10 couples, but thousands of data points. Something that would make up a real sample size. I have this data from another site. Cannot verify it for accuracy. If it is true, I would rather just spend my money in Vegas.

Foreign Marriage Statistics

A few guys have blasted me for the statistic of foreign marriage statistics that I have on my Facts page. Well, here are the official statistics from the US government (uscis.gov) for the year 2003.

3889 K-1's (fiancée) entered the USA
54.0% left the USA within 6 months
28.2% left between 6 months to one year
17.7% lasted more than one year

1546 K-3 (spouse) entered the USA
70.3% left the USA within 6 months
22.6% left between 6 months to one year
7.1 % lasted more than one year

Any comments are welcome. I started this search wholeheartedly, but now I am at a stand still.

With all due respect, you are using that data in the wrong way. Those stats are only showing who left the US during those periods of time. That data does not address why and if they re-entered the US.

On a k-1 you MUST either marry within 90 days or she/he MUST leave the US. A percentage of these people did not marry and returned to there native lands. What percentage? Who knows. If you marry during the 90 window and immediately file for Advance parole it is resonable to assume you could have the proper documents to travel outside of the US. Clearly, it is not unreasonable at all for a spouse to want to visit there family in the 6mo's-1 year time frame.

Trying to extrapolate that this data is directly related to divorce is a total mis use of the data.

Posted by: That1Guy

Why bother?